Thursday, March 17, 2011

Compounding Interest

Compounding Interest, present value, future value, etc.

Updated 2011-04-11, here is another financial calculator, that includes all different variables in a single form.

Sunday, November 28, 2010

Silver

Unlike gold, silver production is consumed to a very high degree!

From Wikipedia:


(a silver iodide generator for cloud seeding)
Silver ... has the highest electrical conductivity of any element and the highest thermal conductivity of any metal.

...

Today, silver metal is also used in electrical contacts and conductors, in mirrors and in catalysis of chemical reactions. Its compounds are used in photographic film and dilute silver nitrate solutions and other silver compounds are used as disinfectants and microbiocides. While many medical antimicrobial uses of silver have been supplanted by antibiotics, further research into clinical potential continues.

...

Currency

...

The name of the United Kingdom monetary unit "pound" (£) reflects the fact that it originally represented the value of one troy pound of sterling silver. In the 1800s, many nations, such as the United States and Great Britain, switched from silver to a gold standard of monetary value, then in the 20th century to fiat currency.

...

Photography and electronics

Photography used 30.98% of the silver consumed in 1998 in the form of silver nitrate and silver halides. In 2001, 23.47% was used for photography, while 20.03% was used in jewelry, 38.51% for industrial uses, and only 3.5% for coins and medals. The use of silver in photography has rapidly declined, due to the lower demand for consumer color film from the advent of digital technology, since in 2007 of the 894.5 million ounces of silver in supply, just 128.3 million ounces (14.3%) were consumed by the photographic sector, and the total amount of silver consumed in 2007 by the photographic sector compared to 1998 is just 50%.

Some electrical and electronic products use silver for its superior conductivity, even when tarnished. For example, printed circuits can be made using silver paints,[6] and computer keyboards use silver electrical contacts. Some high-end audio hardware (DACs, preamplifiers, etc.) are fully silver-wired, which is believed to cause the least loss of quality in the signal. Silver cadmium oxide is used in high voltage contacts because it can withstand arcing.

Mirrors and optics

Mirrors which need superior reflectivity for visible light are made with silver as the reflecting material in a process called silvering, though common mirrors are backed with aluminium. Using a process called sputtering, silver (and sometimes gold) can be applied to glass at various thicknesses, allowing different amounts of light to penetrate. Silver is usually reserved for coatings of specialized optics, and the silvering most often seen in architectural glass and tinted windows on vehicles is produced by sputtered aluminium, which is cheaper and less susceptible to tarnishing and corrosion. Silver is the reflective coating of choice for solar reflectors.

...

Small devices such as hearing aids and watches commonly use Silver oxide batteries due to their long life and high energy/weight ratio. Another usage is high-capacity silver-zinc and silver-cadmium batteries.
Furthermore from the Amalgam Wikipedia page, "Silver-mercury amalgams are important in dentistry".

FIXSLV.LBM chart

Saturday, November 27, 2010

Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein, Vaduz
Bank Assets under Management,
2010-06-30

LGT CHF 86.8 bn
LLB CHF 46.4 bn
VPB CHF 40.5 bn
============
Total CHF 173.7 bn
2010-10-31


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 17.

Monday, August 16, 2010

Purchasing Power

Nice graphic from DollarDaze!

Friday, August 13, 2010

Germany's Gold

The German Gold treasury is actually hosted in New York, London, and Paris. Ein Schelm, wer Böses dabei denkt.

manager magazin (in German): 3440 Tonnen mythische Fracht
Nach Angaben des "World Gold Council" betragen die offiziellen Goldreserven Deutschlands derzeit 3439,5 Tonnen. Dies entspricht 45,6 Prozent der Gesamtreserven oder einem Wert von rund 36,5 Milliarden Euro. Das Edelmetall ist in Barren à 12,5 Kilo gegossen und wird überwiegend in einem Tresor in Manhattan gelagert. Dort betreibt die US-Notenbank für 60 Nationen das mit 550.000 Barren größte Goldlager der Welt.

"Der größte Teil unserer Goldreserven wird außerhalb deutscher Grenzen, wo er entstanden ist, gehalten: bei der Fed in New York, bei der Bank of England in London und der Banque de France in Paris. In dieser Reihenfolge", sagte Kotz dem Stern.

In den 50er und 60er Jahren waren der Bundesbank dort aufgrund außenwirtschaftlicher Überschüsse Deutschlands die Goldreserven von anderen Nationen übertragen worden. Wegen der hohen Kosten für Transport und Bau neuer Tresore lehnt es die Bundesbank aus betriebswirtschaftlichen Gründen ab, die Goldbarren nach Deutschland zu schaffen.
Prof. Hans-Helmut Kotz was a member of the executive board of the Bundesbank from 2002 till 2010. The stern interview was in 2004.

Thursday, August 05, 2010

Kleingeld

Pocket change currently in use:

NoFractional CurrencyCountries
1.Cent28
2.Centavo16
3.Cents10
4.Centime9
5.Fils6
6.Centimes4
7.Sen4
8.Centesimo3
9.Centimos3
10.Bani2
11.Centavos2
12.Centimo2
13.Chon2
14.Dirham2
15.New Pence / Pence2
16.Ore2
17.Paisa2
18.Piastres2
19.Agorot1
20.Att1
21.Aurar (inactive)1
22.Avos1
23.Baizas1
24.Bututs1
25.Cantimo1
26.Centas1
27.Centesimos1
28.Chetrum1
29.Deni1
30.Dinar1
31.Diram1
32.Fen1
33.Fening1
34.Filler1
35.Ghana Pesewas1
36.Groszy1
37.Haleru1
38.Hallalas1
39.Hellers1
40.Iraimbilanja1
41.Khoums1
42.Kobo1
43.Kopek1
44.Kopeken1
45.Kurus1
46.Laari1
47.Lipa1
48.Lisente1
49.Lumma1
50.Millimes1
51.Mongo1
52.New Pence1
53.Ngwee1
54.Oere1
55.Paise1
56.Para1
57.Pence1
58.Piaster1
59.Piastre1
60.Poisha1
61.Pyas1
62.Qapik1
63.Qindarka1
64.Rappen1
65.Santims1
66.Satang1
67.Sene1
68.Seniti1
69.Senti1
70.Stotinki1
71.Tambala1
72.Tenge1
73.Tetri1
74.Thebe1
75.Tiin1
76.Tijin1
77.Toea1
78.Tyin1
79.XU1

Source: SIX Telekurs

Wednesday, August 04, 2010

AuM

Assets under Management (in German)

UBS bleibt zweitgrösster Vermögensverwalter

1 Bank of America: 1,740.51 Milliarden Dollar

2 UBS: 1,593.74 Milliarden Dollar

3 Morgan Stanley: 1,508.00 Milliarden Dollar

4 Wells Fargo: 1,218.00 Milliarden Dollar

5 Credit Suisse: 775.43 Milliarden Dollar

6 JP Morgan: 636.00 Milliarden Dollar

7 Royal Bank of Canada: 379.00 Milliarden Dollar

8 HSBC: 367.00 Milliarden Dollar

9 Deutsche Bank: 272.38 Milliarden Dollar

10 Pictet: 243.21 Milliarden Dollar

Quelle: Scorpio Partnership 2010 Global Private Banking

Monday, August 02, 2010

ISO Codes

Country and currency ISO codes:


English country names and code elements


HTML
TXT


ISO 4217 currency and funds name and code elements

Thursday, July 22, 2010

A Forced Investment

See this video of Brady Dougan (in English), Credit Suisse CEO, best earning banker in the world (71 USD million bonus?!):

The record bonus was "a forced investment", people have to see the context.

He is sweating ... at least.

Yes, really, I am curious, why are you leading C. Suisse, and where?

Where did Ospel lead the U. B. of Switzerland? At least we know why:).

Monday, June 28, 2010

BP Gossip

From the Mad Hedge Fund Trader: The Value Play on BP
Some of the chatter that came back was amazing. BP has discovered the largest and most powerful well in history, and control of it may be outside existing technology. The previous record gusher was Union Oil Co.’s Lakeview well in Maricopa, California, which spewed out a staggering 100,000 barrels a day at its peak in 1910, and created an enormous oil lake in the central part of the state. My grandfather worked there for Standard Oil during the Great Depression, and 2o years later, oil was still everywhere.

Estimates for the BP well now range up to 50% more than that. The pressures at 18,000 feet are so enormous, that drilling two more relief wells might only result in creating two more oil spills. If Obama doesn’t want to take the nuclear option, (click here for my piece at http://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/june_4__2010.html ), then there will be no other alternative but for the spill to continue until the field exhausts itself or becomes capable, possibly some time next year.

This is not the end of the world. Less than 1% of the spilled oil is ending up on the beaches. Watch TV, and that is not 150,000 barrels on the beach in Pensacola, Florida. Most of the crude is being moved parallel to the coast by the current and will eventually end up in the mid-Atlantic, where it will break down or dissipate. Tropical sunlight, salt water, and crude are all highly corrosive, and the three don’t last together long.

Using the high end estimates, and assuming that it takes a year to run out, possibly 36 million barrels will end up in the sea (pressure is declining). This is the same amount of oil that was dumped into the Atlantic during WWII, when 452 tankers were sunk by German U-boats, mostly along the US east coast, and when tar balls on the beach were a daily occurrence. This is on top of the 1.5 million barrels a year that leak into the Gulf through natural seepage, which no one ever notices.

One way or the other, this will end, and Western civilization will survive. And by the way, the crude price rise brought by the spill also marked up the value of BP’s reserves, easily allowing it to cover the cost of the clean up, no matter how big it is. This is how profitable this company is, and why they were so generous with a $20 billion contingency fund.

No sooner did I put out the call the buy the pariah stock at $29, than I hear Whitney Tilson of T2 Partners, one of the giants of the value corner in the hedge fund universe, is doing the same. Whitney has come up with a few more arguments which I haven’t thought of, which I will happily pass on.

For a start, no company has ever made more mistakes than BP, and panic is rife. Great time to buy. BP has the fourth largest revenue of any company in the world after, guess what, three other energy companies, Gazprom (GZPFY.PK), Exxon Mobile (XOM), and Royal Dutch Shell (RDS/A). Pre crisis Q1 operating profit estimates were at a staggering $34 billion, and the net at $22 billion.

While the environmental damage is substantial, it is nowhere near as bad as when 11 million barrels of crude poured into the Persian Gulf during Desert Storm in 1991, which is one sixth the size of the Gulf of Mexico.

Sunday, June 20, 2010

BP Reporting

This is all that is mentioned in the BP first quarter of 2010 report:
On 20 April 2010, the semi-submersible drilling rig Deepwater Horizon owned and operated by Transocean Limited caught fire in the US Gulf of Mexico and subsequently sank. The rig was drilling an exploration well on a BP deepwater lease. BP is committed to doing everything in its power to contain the environmental consequences of the incident.
Not even the death of the 11 people is mentioned.

What is also very interesting from the 2009 annual report:
Total exploration expense in 2009 of $1,116 million (2008 $882 million and 2007 $756 million) included the write-off of expenses related to unsuccessful drilling activities in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico ($391 million), India ($31 million), Angola ($28 million), Egypt ($27 million), and others ($31 million).
Put this in relation to this quote from a Deepwater Horizon witness:
[Mike Williams, the chief electronics technician on the Deepwater Horizon, and one of the last workers to leave the doomed rig] said they were told it would take 21 days; according to him, it actually took six weeks.

With the schedule slipping, Williams says a BP manager ordered a faster pace.

"And he requested to the driller, 'Hey, let's bump it up. Let's bump it up.' And what he was talking about there is he's bumping up the rate of penetration. How fast the drill bit is going down," Williams said.

Williams says going faster caused the bottom of the well to split open, swallowing tools and that drilling fluid called "mud."

"We actually got stuck. And we got stuck so bad we had to send tools down into the drill pipe and sever the pipe," Williams explained.

That well was abandoned and Deepwater Horizon had to drill a new route to the oil. It cost BP more than two weeks and millions of dollars.


"We were informed of this during one of the safety meetings, that somewhere in the neighborhood of $25 million was lost in bottom hole assembly and 'mud.' And you always kind of knew that in the back of your mind when they start throwing these big numbers around that there was gonna be a push coming, you know? A push to pick up production and pick up the pace," Williams said.

Asked if there was pressure on the crew after this happened, Williams told Pelley, "There's always pressure, but yes, the pressure was increased."
Now, how much is actually produced by BP down there in different fields in the Gulf every day?
Field                 2009
Thunder Horse 133'000 bpd
Atlantis 54'000 bpd
Mad Dog 35'000 bpd
Mars 29'000 bpd
Na Kika 27'000 bpd
Horn Mountain 25'000 bpd
King 22'000 bpd
Other 62'000 bpd
Total 387'000 bpd
So make your own guess, how much is coming out there free flowing every day!

Here is what Mad Hedge is worried about:
All of BP’s efforts to date have really been “Hail Mary’s” doomed to failure. The only real chance is to relieve the pressure by drilling several adjacent wells, and that will take months. If BP has discovered the mother of all fields with pressures so enormous, they can’t be controlled with modern technology, a possibility which some geologists admit, then more huge leaks will spring and the nuclear option will be the only one left. In the meantime, if a serious hurricane hits the region, a mathematical probability, then we will see the environmental equivalent of Chernobyl meets Katrina. In this scenario, you can kiss BP goodbye.
So how big could the field be, how much oil is down there that could potentially come up?

From Bloomberg: Anadarko Says BP Should Pay After Being Reckless
1 Billion Barrels?

The ruptured well may hold as much as 1 billion barrels, the Times reported, citing Rick Mueller, an analyst at Energy Security Analysis in Massachusetts. BP previously estimated the field contained 50 million to 100 million barrels of oil, the U.K. newspaper said.
For comparison, Exxon Valdez spilled 0.27 million barrels into the sea. Around a million is estimated to have come already out of the current leak. BTW, BP has total net proved crude oil reserves (not considering natural gas reserves) of 10.5 billion barrels.

Not that there isn't already enough oil out there in the sea (NYTimes graphic via The Big Picture):


Last not least, zero hedge has lots of interesting topographical sea maps of the area around spill:

Saturday, June 12, 2010

Palladium Production



Source: "Platinum 2010" by David Jollie (from Johnson Matthey)
      
Supply     
      
1'000 oz20052006200720082009
South Africa2'6052'7752'7652'4302'370
Russia     
  Primary3'1353'2203'0502'7002'675
  Stock Sales1'4857001'490960960
North America910985990910755
Zimbabwe125135135140180
Others145135150170160
Total Supply8'4057'9508'5807'3107'100
Total Production6'9207'2507'0906'3506'140
      
Gross Demand     
      
Autocatalyst3'8654'0154'5454'4654'050
Chemical415440375350325
Dental815620630625615
Electrical1'2751'4951'5501'3701'270
Investment22050260420625
Jewellery1'4901'140950985815
Other26585857570
Total Gross Demand8'3457'8458'3958'2907'770
      
Recycling      
      
Autocatalyst-625-805-1'015-1'140-965
Electrical-305-290-315-345-395
Jewellery-60-135-235-130-70
Total Recycling-990-1'230-1'565-1'615-1'430
      
Total Net Demand7'3556'6156'8306'6756'340 
     
Movements in Stocks-435635260-325-200
      
1 t = 32'150.75 oz
      
t20052006200720082009
South Africa81.0286.3186.0075.5873.72
Russia     
  Primary97.51100.1594.8783.9883.20
  Stock Sales46.1921.7746.3429.8629.86
North America28.3030.6430.7928.3023.48
Zimbabwe3.894.204.204.355.60
Others4.514.204.675.294.98
Total Supply261.42247.27266.87227.37220.83
Total Production215.24225.50220.52197.51190.98
      
Gross Demand     
      
Autocatalyst120.21124.88141.37138.88125.97
Chemical12.9113.6911.6610.8910.11
Dental25.3519.2819.6019.4419.13
Electrical39.6646.5048.2142.6139.50
Investment6.841.568.0913.0619.44
Jewellery46.3435.4629.5530.6425.35
Other8.242.642.642.332.18
Total Gross Demand259.56244.01261.11257.85241.67
      
Recycling     
      
Autocatalyst-19.44-25.04-31.57-35.46-30.01
Electrical-9.49-9.02-9.80-10.73-12.29
Jewellery-1.87-4.20-7.31-4.04-2.18
Total Recycling-30.79-38.26-48.68-50.23-44.48
      
Total Net Demand228.77205.75212.44207.62197.20
      
Movements in Stocks-13.5319.758.09-10.11-6.22

Tuesday, June 08, 2010

World Vehicle Productions

World cars and commercial vehicle production statistics according to OICA: